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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-22 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,668.27 (+11.7%) | 9.8 | 1.6% | 15h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 14% ±13 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±13 | 36% ±30 | 74% ±43 | 4.4d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 174 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,610.51 (+10.3%) | 8.6 | 4.8% | 1.5d | 3.4d ago · 97× | 4% ±8 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 24% ±32 | 63% ±54 | 5.3d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 134 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,574.95 (+9.5%) | 7.9 | 4.2% | 1.1d | 21.5d ago · 44× | 5% ±8 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 25% ±28 | 51% ±49 | 6.9d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 166 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,511.01 (+7.9%) | 6.6 | 5.8% | 2.0d | 3.2d ago · 79× | 11% ±30 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±26 | 35% ±66 | 97% | 3.9d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 31 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,466.13 (+6.9%) | 5.7 | 7.1% | 3.1d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 8% ±17 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±17 | 24% ±49 | 55% | 6.1d | 2.20% | 1.44% | 56 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,418 (+5.7%) | 4.8 | 5.7% | 1.3d | 7.2d ago · 56× | 32% ±53 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 4% ±7 | 30% ±45 | 87% | 96% | 1.6d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,361.43 (+4.3%) | 3.6 | 6.5% | 1.6d | 23.0d ago · 46× | 35% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±10 | 33% ±53 | 95% | 95% | 1.4d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,287.92–4,517.55 (+2.6%) | 2.2 | 6.2% | 2.6d | 1.2d ago · 83× | 47% ±31 | 60% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 12% ±8 | 46% ±29 | 54% ±49 | 56% ±69 | 1.5d | 2.14% | 1.55% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 30D POC | 4,278.35–4,302.27 (+2.4%) | 2.0 | 4.3% | 1.5d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 40% ±55 | 13% ±19 | 27% ±25 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 17% ±16 | 37% ±47 | 69% | 96% | 1.7d | 0.92% | 2.41% | 21 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,179.78 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.