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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-23 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,668.27 (+11.8%) | 11 | 1.5% | 14h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 12% ±13 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±12 | 32% ±30 | 73% ±43 | 4.7d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 162 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,629.77 (+10.9%) | 9.7 | 3.2% | 20h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 3% ±7 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 21% ±30 | 65% ±54 | 5.0d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 118 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,574.95 (+9.6%) | 8.5 | 4.0% | 1.0d | 21.5d ago · 44× | 5% ±9 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±8 | 25% ±28 | 52% ±49 | 6.8d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 170 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,511.01 (+8.0%) | 7.2 | 5.5% | 1.9d | 3.2d ago · 79× | 11% ±31 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±26 | 38% ±67 | 97% | 3.8d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 31 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,466.13 (+7.0%) | 6.2 | 6.7% | 3.0d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 7% ±17 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±16 | 28% ±51 | 58% | 5.6d | 2.20% | 1.44% | 58 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,418 (+5.8%) | 5.2 | 5.4% | 1.2d | 7.2d ago · 56× | 27% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 4% ±7 | 25% ±42 | 86% | 96% | 1.8d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,361.43 (+4.5%) | 4.0 | 6.1% | 1.5d | 23.0d ago · 46× | 31% ±64 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±10 | 29% ±51 | 95% | 95% | 1.4d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 4,302.27 (+3.0%) | 2.7 | 7.3% | 3.2d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 38% ±47 | 13% ±19 | 27% ±25 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 14% ±13 | 32% ±41 | 74% ±61 | 97% | 1.9d | 0.92% | 2.41% | 27 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,287.92–4,517.55 (+2.7%) | 2.4 | 5.9% | 2.5d | 1.2d ago · 83× | 46% ±31 | 60% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 11% ±8 | 44% ±29 | 52% ±49 | 54% ±69 | 1.8d | 2.14% | 1.55% | 64 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,278.35 (+2.5%) | 2.2 | 4.0% | 1.4d | 105.5d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| at post · 4,175.36 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.