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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-23 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,668.27 (+11.0%) | 13 | 1.1% | 11h | 3.5d ago · 70× | 8% ±13 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±12 | 22% ±33 | 75% ±49 | 4.6d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 112 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,636.18 (+10.2%) | 12 | 2.2% | 13h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 1% ±6 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 17% ±33 | 72% ±62 | 4.9d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,574.95 (+8.7%) | 10 | 3.0% | 19h | 21.6d ago · 44× | 4% ±7 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 21% ±27 | 57% ±49 | 6.3d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 169 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,511.01 (+7.2%) | 8.6 | 4.2% | 1.5d | 3.3d ago · 79× | 8% ±27 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±23 | 21% ±57 | 97% | 4.1d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 28 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,466.13 (+6.2%) | 7.3 | 5.1% | 2.3d | 3.3d ago · 104× | 6% ±16 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±15 | 28% ±51 | 66% | 4.9d | 2.20% | 1.44% | 56 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,385.91 (+4.3%) | 5.1 | 4.4% | 1.1d | 7.3d ago · 56× | 26% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±7 | 24% ±37 | 86% ±48 | 97% | 1.8d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,361.43 (+3.7%) | 4.4 | 4.6% | 1.2d | 23.1d ago · 46× | 31% ±64 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 5% ±9 | 27% ±50 | 95% | 95% | 1.5d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 4,302.27 (+2.3%) | 2.7 | 5.6% | 2.5d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 38% ±47 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 13% ±13 | 31% ±41 | 73% ±61 | 97% | 2.1d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 28 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,287.92–4,517.55 (+1.9%) | 2.3 | 4.5% | 1.9d | 1.3d ago · 83× | 48% ±31 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 12% ±8 | 45% ±29 | 53% ±49 | 55% ±69 | 1.8d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 65 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,278.35 (+1.7%) | 2.0 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 105.6d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| at post · 4,206.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.