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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-23 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,668.27 (+11.3%) | 15 | 1.0% | 10h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 7% ±13 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±13 | 20% ±35 | 82% ±53 | 4.5d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 89 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,636.18 (+10.6%) | 14 | 2.1% | 12h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 2% ±9 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 20% ±45 | 80% | 4.6d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,574.95 (+9.1%) | 12 | 2.7% | 17h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 4% ±7 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 20% ±26 | 59% ±48 | 6.0d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 168 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,511.01 (+7.6%) | 9.7 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 3.3d ago · 79× | 9% ±33 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 4% ±7 | 8% ±27 | 14% | 96% | 4.1d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 26 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,466.13 (+6.5%) | 8.3 | 4.8% | 2.2d | 3.3d ago · 104× | 6% ±17 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±15 | 28% ±51 | 72% | 4.6d | 2.20% | 1.44% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,361.43 (+4.0%) | 5.1 | 4.2% | 1.1d | 23.0d ago · 46× | 31% ±64 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 5% ±9 | 27% ±50 | 95% | 95% | 1.5d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 4,334.57 (+3.4%) | 4.3 | 4.7% | 1.2d | 7.3d ago · 56× | 27% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±6 | 25% ±38 | 87% ±47 | 97% | 1.6d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 4,302.27 (+2.6%) | 3.3 | 5.2% | 2.3d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 37% ±42 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 14% ±12 | 32% ±37 | 66% ±66 | 97% | 2.1d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 34 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,287.92–4,517.55 (+2.3%) | 2.9 | 4.2% | 1.7d | 1.3d ago · 83× | 41% ±30 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 7% ±6 | 39% ±29 | 46% ±49 | 50% ±69 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 65 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,278.35 (+2.0%) | 2.6 | 2.8% | 23h | 105.5d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| at post · 4,193.17 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.