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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-23 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,668.27 (+11.8%) | 15 | 1.1% | 10h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 7% ±13 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±13 | 19% ±34 | 83% ±52 | 4.5d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 89 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,642.6 (+11.2%) | 14 | 1.9% | 12h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 2% ±10 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 19% ±44 | 78% | 4.8d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 56 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,559.92 (+9.2%) | 11 | 2.2% | 10h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 4% ±7 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 19% ±26 | 58% ±48 | 6.2d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 169 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,511.01 (+8.1%) | 10.0 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 3.2d ago · 79× | 8% ±27 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±23 | 13% ±47 | 97% | 4.1d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 28 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,478.96 (+7.3%) | 9.0 | 4.7% | 2.1d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 4% ±15 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±14 | 29% ±51 | 73% | 4.3d | 2.20% | 1.44% | 50 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,361.43 (+4.5%) | 5.5 | 4.5% | 1.1d | 22.9d ago · 46× | 21% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 5% ±10 | 18% ±44 | 95% | 95% | 1.5d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 4,300.95 (+3.0%) | 3.8 | 5.5% | 2.4d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 30% ±40 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 8% ±9 | 26% ±35 | 63% ±67 | 97% | 2.3d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 34 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,288.62–4,420.16 (+2.7%) | 3.4 | 4.5% | 1.9d | 9.7d ago · 82× | 29% ±27 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 4% ±5 | 28% ±25 | 37% ±47 | 41% ±68 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 72 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,272.18 (+2.4%) | 2.9 | 2.1% | 15h | 105.4d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,231.07–4,247.52 (+1.4%) | 1.7 | 0.3% | 51m | 1.9d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 4,206.23 (+0.8%) | 1.0 | 0.9% | 6h | 7.2d ago · 56× | 78% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 67% ±23 | 78% ±47 | 83% | 94% | 1h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| at post · 4,173.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.