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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-24 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,668.27 (+11.9%) | 14 | 1.1% | 10h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 7% ±13 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±12 | 20% ±32 | 79% ±57 | 4.6d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 99 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,642.6 (+11.3%) | 13 | 2.0% | 12h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 2% ±9 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 19% ±45 | 80% | 4.7d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,549.8 (+9.1%) | 11 | 2.2% | 11h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 4% ±7 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 20% ±26 | 57% ±49 | 6.3d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 170 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,511.01 (+8.1%) | 9.7 | 4.4% | 1.5d | 3.2d ago · 79× | 8% ±27 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 7% ±23 | 13% ±46 | 97% | 4.1d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 29 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,478.96 (+7.4%) | 8.7 | 4.9% | 2.1d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 4% ±14 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±13 | 28% ±51 | 74% | 4.4d | 2.20% | 1.44% | 52 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,361.43 (+4.5%) | 5.4 | 4.7% | 1.1d | 23.0d ago · 46× | 20% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 5% ±10 | 17% ±43 | 95% | 95% | 1.5d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 4,298.53 (+3.0%) | 3.6 | 5.7% | 2.5d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 31% ±41 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 8% ±9 | 28% ±36 | 64% ±67 | 97% | 2.3d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 36 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,286.93–4,418.36 (+2.8%) | 3.3 | 4.5% | 1.8d | 1.2d ago · 83× | 35% ±28 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 6% ±5 | 33% ±27 | 41% ±48 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 70 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,271.47 (+2.4%) | 2.8 | 2.1% | 14h | 105.5d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±38 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,225.08–4,248.28 (+1.3%) | 1.5 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.0d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 4,199.81 (+0.7%) | 0.8 | 1.3% | 10h | 7.2d ago · 56× | 78% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 63% ±23 | 76% ±48 | 82% | 95% | 2h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| at post · 4,172.13 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.