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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-24 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,668.27 (+12.8%) | 15 | 1.1% | 10h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 6% ±13 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±13 | 19% ±34 | 87% ±46 | 4.4d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 82 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,553.21 (+10.0%) | 12 | 2.2% | 11h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 4% ±7 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 20% ±26 | 59% ±48 | 6.0d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 168 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC | 4,501.42–4,511.01 (+8.8%) | 10 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 3.3d ago · 97× | 3% ±8 | 41% ±19 | 9% ±11 | 51% ±20 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 18% ±31 | 72% ±51 | 4.8d | 1.97% | 1.57% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,353.76 (+5.2%) | 6.2 | 4.9% | 1.2d | 23.0d ago · 46× | 20% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 5% ±10 | 17% ±43 | 95% | 95% | 1.5d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 4,303.89 (+4.0%) | 4.8 | 5.6% | 2.4d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 24% ±38 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 6% ±8 | 22% ±33 | 53% ±69 | 97% | 2.8d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 33 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,284.71–4,415.12 (+3.5%) | 4.2 | 4.0% | 1.5d | 1.3d ago · 83× | 19% ±22 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 1% ±2 | 18% ±21 | 33% ±46 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 77 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,269.37 (+3.2%) | 3.8 | 1.8% | 12h | 105.5d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,223.34–4,246.36 (+2.0%) | 2.4 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.0d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 4,183.77 (+1.1%) | 1.3 | 1.8% | 16h | 3.3d ago · 104× | 77% ±21 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 44% ±10 | 77% ±21 | 85% ±31 | 97% ±24 | 5h | 2.20% | 1.44% | 88 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,138.89 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,000.88 (-3.3%) | 4.0 | <0.1% | 2m | 3.0d ago · 85× | 29% ±17 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 7% ±4 | 29% ±17 | 45% ±33 | 65% ±47 | 3.7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 166 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.