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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-24 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,668.27 (+11.9%) | 15 | 1.0% | 10h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 7% ±13 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±13 | 18% ±34 | 82% ±53 | 4.5d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 92 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,545.54 (+8.9%) | 11 | 2.3% | 12h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 4% ±7 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 19% ±24 | 57% ±49 | 6.4d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 172 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC | 4,495–4,511.01 (+7.7%) | 9.5 | 4.1% | 1.4d | 3.2d ago · 97× | 3% ±8 | 41% ±19 | 9% ±11 | 51% ±20 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 18% ±29 | 69% ±52 | 5.1d | 1.97% | 1.57% | 131 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,353.76 (+4.3%) | 5.3 | 4.8% | 1.2d | 23.0d ago · 46× | 21% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 4% ±8 | 18% ±38 | 80% | 80% | 1.7d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 4,303.89 (+3.1%) | 3.9 | 5.6% | 2.4d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 24% ±38 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 8% ±9 | 21% ±33 | 58% ±68 | 97% | 2.6d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 37 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,284.71–4,415.12 (+2.7%) | 3.3 | 4.0% | 1.5d | 1.2d ago · 83× | 34% ±28 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 5% ±5 | 32% ±26 | 40% ±48 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 72 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,269.37 (+2.3%) | 2.8 | 1.8% | 12h | 105.5d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,223.34–4,246.36 (+1.2%) | 1.5 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.0d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 4,183.77 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 1.9% | 17h | 3.2d ago · 104× | 94% ±14 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 76% ±10 | 94% ±13 | 96% ±20 | 97% ±23 | 1h | 2.20% | 1.44% | 69 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,173.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,000.88 (-4.1%) | 5.1 | <0.1% | 2m | 3.0d ago · 85× | 18% ±13 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±13 | 34% ±28 | 59% ±43 | 4.9d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 194 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.