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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-24 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,675.95 (+11.9%) | 15 | 0.7% | 6h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 6% ±13 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±12 | 18% ±34 | 85% ±49 | 4.5d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 85 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,545.54 (+8.8%) | 11 | 2.1% | 11h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 4% ±7 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 19% ±24 | 57% ±49 | 6.4d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 173 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC | 4,495–4,511.01 (+7.6%) | 9.6 | 4.0% | 1.4d | 3.2d ago · 97× | 3% ±8 | 41% ±19 | 9% ±11 | 51% ±20 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 18% ±29 | 70% ±52 | 5.1d | 1.97% | 1.57% | 129 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,361.43 (+4.4%) | 5.5 | 4.5% | 1.1d | 23.0d ago · 46× | 17% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 4% ±8 | 15% ±35 | 96% | 96% | 1.7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 4,303.89 (+3.0%) | 3.8 | 5.5% | 2.3d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 26% ±35 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 7% ±8 | 23% ±31 | 58% ±68 | 98% | 2.6d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 39 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,284.71–4,415.12 (+2.5%) | 3.2 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 1.2d ago · 83× | 32% ±26 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 5% ±5 | 31% ±25 | 38% ±48 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 75 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,269.37 (+2.2%) | 2.8 | 1.8% | 11h | 105.5d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 7% ±14 | 7% ±35 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,223.34–4,246.36 (+1.1%) | 1.4 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.0d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 4,183.77 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.0% | 19h | 3.2d ago · 104× | 95% ±12 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 82% ±9 | 95% ±12 | 97% ±17 | 97% ±24 | 1h | 2.20% | 1.44% | 64 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,178.36 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,000.88 (-4.2%) | 5.4 | <0.1% | 2m | 3.0d ago · 85× | 16% ±13 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±12 | 31% ±27 | 57% ±43 | 5.2d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 196 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.