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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-25 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,714.3 (+14.2%) | 20 | 0.6% | 6h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 2% ±10 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 14% ±39 | 98% | 4.3d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,545.54 (+10.1%) | 14 | 1.9% | 10h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 3% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 18% ±25 | 59% ±48 | 6.0d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 153 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,511.01 (+9.3%) | 13 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 3.3d ago · 79× | 4% ±19 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 10% ±42 | 97% | 3.9d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,475.75 (+8.5%) | 12 | 4.5% | 2.0d | 3.5d ago · 97× | 1% ±5 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 16% ±32 | 69% ±64 | 5.0d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 98 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,392.11 (+6.4%) | 8.9 | 3.8% | 21h | 23.0d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | 6% ±13 | 15% ±49 | 94% | 94% | 1.5d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 4,303.89 (+4.3%) | 5.9 | 5.1% | 2.1d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 21% ±36 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 5% ±7 | 19% ±32 | 40% ±68 | 97% | 3.8d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 37 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,284.71–4,376.77 (+3.8%) | 5.3 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 1.3d ago · 83× | 15% ±21 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 1% ±3 | 14% ±20 | 36% ±47 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 71 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,269.37 (+3.5%) | 4.8 | 1.7% | 10h | 105.5d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±38 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,223.34–4,246.36 (+2.3%) | 3.2 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.0d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 21% ±23 | 48% ±69 | 48% | 93% | 5.9d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 4,183.77 (+1.4%) | 1.9 | 2.1% | 19h | 3.3d ago · 104× | 55% ±28 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 21% ±9 | 56% ±28 | 69% ±45 | 84% ±50 | 14h | 2.20% | 1.44% | 73 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,126.73 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,000.88 (-3.0%) | 4.2 | <0.1% | 2m | 3.0d ago · 85× | 26% ±16 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 4% ±3 | 26% ±16 | 42% ±31 | 63% ±47 | 4.0d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 176 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.