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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-25 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,735.72 (+18.4%) | 21 | 0.3% | 3h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 3% ±12 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 9% ±39 | 98% | 4.4d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 44 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,558.18 (+13.9%) | 16 | 2.0% | 10h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 2% ±5 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 2% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 18% ±29 | 60% ±55 | 5.7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 130 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 4,505.73 (+12.6%) | 14 | 4.4% | 1.5d | 3.3d ago · 79× | 4% ±19 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 10% ±41 | 97% | 3.9d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,466.38 (+11.7%) | 13 | 5.5% | 2.4d | 3.5d ago · 97× | 2% ±7 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 17% ±37 | 78% ±57 | 4.8d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 70 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,380.64 (+9.5%) | 11 | 4.1% | 23h | 23.0d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 4,303.98 (+7.6%) | 8.6 | 6.0% | 2.5d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 21% ±40 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 7% ±10 | 20% ±39 | 28% | 96% | 3.9d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 25 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,283.8–4,404.85 (+7.1%) | 8.0 | 4.1% | 1.5d | 1.3d ago · 83× | 15% ±23 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 2% ±4 | 15% ±23 | 43% ±56 | 57% | 6.6d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,267.66 (+6.7%) | 7.6 | 1.8% | 11h | 105.5d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 4,180 (+4.5%) | 5.1 | 2.5% | 23h | 3.3d ago · 104× | 8% ±16 | 56% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±16 | 25% ±43 | 51% ±69 | 6.4d | 2.20% | 1.44% | 64 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,098.19–4,106.26 (+2.5%) | 2.8 | 0.4% | 58m | 2.0d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 23% ±25 | 44% ±69 | 44% | 44% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| at post · 4,000.18 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,961 (-1.0%) | 1.1 | <0.1% | 5m | 3.0d ago · 85× | 54% ±26 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 43% ±11 | 54% ±26 | 69% ±41 | 72% ±62 | 10h | 2.57% | 0.74% | 81 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.