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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-25 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,743.79 (+18.2%) | 19 | 0.2% | 2h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 2% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 13% ±38 | 94% | 4.4d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 60 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,558.18 (+13.6%) | 14 | 2.2% | 11h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 18% ±25 | 58% ±48 | 6.0d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 154 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,505.73 (+12.3%) | 13 | 4.8% | 1.6d | 3.2d ago · 79× | 4% ±18 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 9% ±40 | 97% | 3.9d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 32 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,459.64 (+11.1%) | 12 | 5.5% | 2.1d | 3.4d ago · 97× | 1% ±5 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 16% ±29 | 68% ±65 | 5.0d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 102 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,332.22 (+7.9%) | 8.3 | 5.6% | 1.5d | 22.9d ago · 46× | 13% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 5% ±10 | 11% ±35 | 48% | 48% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 4,303.98 (+7.2%) | 7.5 | 6.5% | 2.7d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 24% ±38 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 6% ±8 | 22% ±33 | 37% ±67 | 97% | 3.6d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 33 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,283.8–4,404.85 (+6.7%) | 7.0 | 4.5% | 1.6d | 9.7d ago · 82× | 15% ±22 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±22 | 41% ±56 | 54% | 6.9d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 61 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,267.66 (+6.3%) | 6.6 | 2.0% | 12h | 105.4d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 4,180 (+4.1%) | 4.3 | 2.7% | 1.1d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 13% ±20 | 57% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 3% ±4 | 13% ±20 | 29% ±45 | 52% ±69 | 6.3d | 2.22% | 1.44% | 68 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,025.56–4,106.26 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.9d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| at post · 4,013.57 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,961 (-1.3%) | 1.4 | <0.1% | 5m | 2.9d ago · 85× | 48% ±25 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 34% ±10 | 48% ±25 | 64% ±42 | 68% ±64 | 1.1d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 88 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.