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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-25 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,768 (+21.1%) | 18 | <0.1% | 10m | 3.3d ago · 70× | 2% ±7 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 12% ±32 | 95% ±31 | 4.6d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 69 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,588.11 (+16.5%) | 14 | 4.4% | 1.4d | 21.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 17% ±25 | 59% ±48 | 6.2d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 162 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,506.73 (+14.4%) | 12 | 5.4% | 1.9d | 3.2d ago · 79× | 3% ±16 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 8% ±38 | 97% | 3.9d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 34 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,327.62 (+9.9%) | 8.2 | 7.1% | 2.0d | 3.4d ago · 97× | 5% ±9 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±9 | 23% ±29 | 59% ±48 | 5.8d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 152 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 4,301.15 (+9.2%) | 7.7 | 7.9% | 3.3d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 23% ±37 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 6% ±8 | 21% ±33 | 36% ±66 | 97% | 3.6d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 34 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,279.73–4,416.79 (+8.7%) | 7.2 | 4.7% | 1.6d | 9.7d ago · 82× | 16% ±24 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±22 | 42% ±56 | 55% | 6.8d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 60 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,271.17 (+8.5%) | 7.0 | 3.0% | 20h | 105.4d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 4,180.5–4,194.07 (+6.2%) | 5.1 | 3.3% | 1.3d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 9% ±17 | 57% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±16 | 31% ±45 | 49% ±69 | 6.4d | 2.22% | 1.44% | 67 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,031.32–4,116.98 (+2.4%) | 2.0 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 20% ±22 | 36% ±66 | 36% | 36% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| at post · 3,938.16 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,911.39 (-0.7%) | 0.6 | <0.1% | 7m | 2.9d ago · 85× | 71% ±30 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 56% ±13 | 72% ±28 | 82% ±43 | 84% | 3h | 2.57% | 0.74% | 57 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.