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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-25 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,768 (+22.7%) | 16 | <0.1% | 16m | 3.4d ago · 70× | 5% ±11 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±10 | 16% ±32 | 82% ±54 | 4.7d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 90 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,588.26 (+18.1%) | 12 | 5.0% | 1.6d | 21.5d ago · 44× | 3% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 17% ±23 | 58% ±48 | 6.3d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 171 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,507.85 (+16.0%) | 11 | 6.2% | 2.2d | 3.3d ago · 79× | 6% ±21 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±5 | 5% ±18 | 10% ±42 | 98% | 4.1d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 38 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+10.7%) | 7.3 | 9.1% | 3.7d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 21% ±35 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 5% ±7 | 19% ±31 | 37% ±67 | 98% | 3.6d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 38 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,427.44 (+10.1%) | 6.9 | 4.7% | 1.5d | 1.3d ago · 83× | 15% ±22 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±21 | 40% ±48 | 53% ±69 | 6.9d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 64 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,266.62 (+9.8%) | 6.8 | 2.8% | 17h | 105.5d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,228.73 (+8.9%) | 6.1 | 0.5% | 2h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 22% ±15 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 2% ±2 | 22% ±15 | 37% ±30 | 64% ±47 | 5.0d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 177 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 4,181.48–4,184.86 (+7.6%) | 5.3 | 3.8% | 1.5d | 3.3d ago · 104× | 10% ±18 | 57% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±18 | 30% ±45 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.44% | 68 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 3,935.52–3,963.9 (+1.3%) | 0.9 | 0.6% | 1h | 2.0d ago · 50× | 54% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 53% ±27 | 53% ±69 | 53% | 53% | 4h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| at post · 3,884.57 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,822 (-1.6%) | 1.1 | 0.2% | 15m | 3.0d ago · 85× | 54% ±26 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 44% ±11 | 56% ±26 | 70% ±40 | 74% ±61 | 8h | 2.57% | 0.74% | 85 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.