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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-26 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,768 (+20.9%) | 16 | <0.1% | 13m | 3.4d ago · 70× | 5% ±11 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 16% ±32 | 79% ±57 | 4.7d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 92 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,588.26 (+16.3%) | 12 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 21.5d ago · 44× | 3% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 18% ±24 | 58% ±48 | 6.3d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 175 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,507.85 (+14.3%) | 11 | 5.8% | 2.1d | 3.3d ago · 79× | 6% ±18 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 9% ±40 | 98% | 4.3d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 40 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+9.0%) | 6.7 | 8.6% | 3.5d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 18% ±31 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±6 | 16% ±27 | 35% ±66 | 98% | 3.8d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 43 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,427.44 (+8.4%) | 6.3 | 4.4% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 83× | 13% ±20 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 1% ±3 | 12% ±19 | 37% ±47 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 68 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,266.62 (+8.2%) | 6.1 | 2.5% | 16h | 105.5d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±38 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,218.62 (+7.0%) | 5.2 | 0.8% | 4h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 29% ±16 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 4% ±3 | 29% ±16 | 45% ±29 | 69% ±41 | 3.9d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 190 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 4,172.02–4,185.57 (+5.8%) | 4.3 | 3.6% | 1.4d | 3.3d ago · 104× | 12% ±20 | 57% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±19 | 33% ±46 | 51% ±69 | 5.2d | 2.22% | 1.44% | 68 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,030.12–4,115.26 (+2.2%) | 1.6 | 0.9% | 3h | 2.0d ago · 50× | 38% ±67 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 25% ±23 | 39% ±68 | 39% | 39% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| at post · 3,944.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,873.41 (-1.8%) | 1.3 | 0.5% | 2h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 48% ±25 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 35% ±10 | 50% ±24 | 65% ±42 | 69% ±64 | 1.1d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 93 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.