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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-26 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,768 (+21.3%) | 16 | <0.1% | 12m | 3.5d ago · 70× | 4% ±10 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 13% ±29 | 80% ±56 | 4.8d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 87 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,597.72 (+16.9%) | 13 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 21.6d ago · 44× | 2% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 17% ±24 | 57% ±48 | 6.3d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 170 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,507.85 (+14.6%) | 11 | 5.7% | 2.1d | 3.4d ago · 79× | 5% ±18 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 9% ±40 | 98% | 4.3d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+9.3%) | 7.1 | 8.4% | 3.5d | 3.4d ago · 67× | 18% ±31 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±6 | 16% ±27 | 33% ±65 | 98% | 3.9d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 43 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,427.44 (+8.7%) | 6.6 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 1.4d ago · 83× | 13% ±20 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 1% ±3 | 12% ±19 | 39% ±48 | 52% ±69 | 6.9d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 68 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,266.62 (+8.5%) | 6.4 | 2.5% | 15h | 105.6d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,225.2 (+7.4%) | 5.6 | 0.6% | 2h | 3.6d ago · 97× | 27% ±16 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 3% ±3 | 26% ±16 | 42% ±31 | 66% ±46 | 4.2d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 186 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 4,172.02–4,185.6 (+6.1%) | 4.6 | 3.5% | 1.4d | 3.4d ago · 104× | 10% ±18 | 57% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±17 | 30% ±45 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.44% | 71 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,030.12–4,115.26 (+2.5%) | 1.9 | 0.8% | 3h | 2.1d ago · 50× | 36% ±66 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 22% ±20 | 35% ±54 | 35% | 35% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| at post · 3,932.28 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,894 (-1.0%) | 0.7 | 0.7% | 3h | 3.1d ago · 85× | 62% ±29 | 59% ±22 | 18% ±17 | 23% ±19 | 19 | 47% ±12 | 62% ±27 | 76% ±42 | 81% ±55 | 5h | 2.52% | 0.87% | 71 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.