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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-26 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,768 (+21.2%) | 16 | <0.1% | 12m | 3.4d ago · 70× | 5% ±11 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 14% ±30 | 77% ±59 | 4.8d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 91 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,597.72 (+16.8%) | 13 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 21.5d ago · 44× | 2% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 17% ±23 | 57% ±49 | 6.4d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 173 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,507.85 (+14.5%) | 11 | 5.8% | 2.1d | 3.3d ago · 79× | 5% ±18 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 9% ±39 | 98% | 4.4d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 42 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+9.3%) | 6.9 | 8.5% | 3.5d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 17% ±28 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±6 | 16% ±25 | 34% ±54 | 98% | 3.9d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 45 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,427.44 (+8.7%) | 6.5 | 4.4% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 83× | 12% ±19 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 1% ±3 | 12% ±18 | 38% ±47 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 70 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,266.62 (+8.4%) | 6.3 | 2.5% | 16h | 105.5d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,225.2 (+7.4%) | 5.5 | 0.6% | 2h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 27% ±16 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 4% ±3 | 27% ±16 | 42% ±31 | 66% ±46 | 4.1d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 188 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 4,162.56–4,185.6 (+5.8%) | 4.3 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 3.3d ago · 104× | 11% ±19 | 57% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±17 | 31% ±45 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.44% | 73 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,030.12–4,124.72 (+2.4%) | 1.8 | 0.9% | 3h | 2.0d ago · 50× | 36% ±66 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 21% ±19 | 33% ±53 | 33% | 33% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| at post · 3,935.34 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,901.2 (-0.9%) | 0.7 | 1.2% | 6h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 67% ±29 | 59% ±22 | 18% ±17 | 23% ±19 | 19 | 51% ±12 | 68% ±28 | 81% ±39 | 84% ±51 | 4h | 2.52% | 0.87% | 66 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 3,935.34 | 4,185.6 | 3,842.88 | expired | +2.33% |