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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-26 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,768 (+19.5%) | 15 | <0.1% | 12m | 3.4d ago · 70× | 5% ±11 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±10 | 15% ±29 | 73% ±61 | 4.9d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 100 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,597.72 (+15.3%) | 12 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 21.5d ago · 44× | 3% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 18% ±24 | 56% ±49 | 6.4d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 186 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 4,507.85 (+13.0%) | 10.0 | 5.8% | 2.1d | 3.3d ago · 79× | 5% ±16 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±4 | 5% ±14 | 8% ±31 | 98% | 4.6d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 45 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+7.8%) | 6.0 | 8.5% | 3.5d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 17% ±28 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±6 | 15% ±25 | 33% ±53 | 98% | 3.9d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 46 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,427.44 (+7.2%) | 5.5 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 1.3d ago · 83× | 14% ±19 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 1% ±2 | 14% ±18 | 33% ±41 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,266.62 (+7.0%) | 5.3 | 2.5% | 16h | 105.5d ago · 18× | 8% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,219.16 (+5.8%) | 4.4 | 0.8% | 3h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 33% ±16 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 5% ±3 | 32% ±16 | 49% ±30 | 69% ±40 | 3.2d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 198 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 4,162.56–4,181.49 (+4.4%) | 3.3 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 3.3d ago · 104× | 25% ±25 | 57% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 5% ±5 | 24% ±23 | 45% ±49 | 59% ±68 | 4.8d | 2.22% | 1.44% | 78 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,030.12–4,124.72 (+1.0%) | 0.8 | 0.9% | 3h | 2.0d ago · 50× | 50% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 53% ±25 | 53% ±56 | 53% | 53% | 2h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| at post · 3,988.33 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,917.87 (-1.8%) | 1.4 | 1.6% | 7h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 49% ±25 | 59% ±22 | 18% ±17 | 23% ±19 | 19 | 36% ±10 | 51% ±24 | 66% ±42 | 70% ±63 | 14h | 2.52% | 0.87% | 96 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.