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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-28 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,672.61 (+16.8%) | 35 | 0.4% | 4h | 3.4d ago · 70× | building | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 7% ±14 | 7% ±35 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 13 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,616.64 (+15.4%) | 32 | 1.0% | 9h | 21.5d ago · 44× | building | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 92% | 4.7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 11 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 4,506.74 (+12.7%) | 26 | 1.9% | 16h | 3.2d ago · 79× | building | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | building | building | building | building | — | 2.02% | 1.85% | 7 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+7.5%) | 16 | 3.5% | 1.4d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 8% ±37 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 95% | 3.9d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 17 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,512.58 (+6.9%) | 14 | 1.6% | 11h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 27% ±50 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 4% ±7 | 24% ±42 | 53% | 84% | 2.4d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 26 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,257.16 (+6.4%) | 13 | 0.4% | 2h | 105.5d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,220.26 (+5.5%) | 11 | 0.3% | 48m | 3.5d ago · 97× | 1% ±4 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 13% ±27 | 57% ±56 | 5.7d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 113 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,183.13 (+4.6%) | 9.5 | 1.4% | 12h | 3.2d ago · 104× | 2% ±9 | 57% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 17% ±43 | 59% | 5.3d | 2.22% | 1.44% | 57 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,085.69 (+2.1%) | 4.5 | 0.3% | 34m | 23.0d ago · 46× | 12% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±4 | 11% ±22 | 37% ±55 | 37% | > 7d | — | — | 45 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,049.04–4,124.72 (+1.2%) | 2.5 | 0.3% | 44m | 2.0d ago · 50× | 40% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 12% ±13 | 35% ±47 | 46% | 46% | > 7d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| at post · 4,000.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,950.25 (-1.2%) | 2.6 | 0.6% | 3h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 38% ±21 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 13% ±6 | 36% ±21 | 51% ±37 | 59% ±56 | 2.2d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 124 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.