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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-28 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,668 (+17.4%) | 40 | 0.4% | 5h | 3.3d ago · 70× | building | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | building | building | building | building | — | 2.23% | 1.75% | 8 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,626.1 (+16.4%) | 37 | 0.7% | 5h | 21.4d ago · 44× | building | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | building | building | building | building | — | 1.68% | 2.10% | 6 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 4,503.03 (+13.3%) | 30 | 1.7% | 14h | 3.2d ago · 79× | building | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | building | building | building | building | — | 2.02% | 1.85% | 7 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+8.1%) | 18 | 3.2% | 1.3d | 3.2d ago · 67× | building | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | building | building | building | building | — | 0.99% | 1.96% | 7 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,427.44 (+7.5%) | 17 | 1.4% | 10h | 9.7d ago · 82× | building | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 7% ±14 | 35% ±66 | 47% | 93% | 5.7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 13 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,257.16 (+7.1%) | 16 | 0.4% | 2h | 105.4d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,220.26 (+6.1%) | 14 | 0.2% | 43m | 3.4d ago · 97× | 1% ±7 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 13% ±33 | 62% ±67 | 5.4d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 72 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,183.13 (+5.2%) | 12 | 1.3% | 11h | 3.2d ago · 104× | 3% ±13 | 57% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 20% ±56 | 62% | 4.8d | 2.22% | 1.44% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,075.8 (+2.5%) | 5.7 | 0.2% | 24m | 22.9d ago · 46× | 8% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±19 | 27% ±61 | 27% | > 7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,049.04–4,124.72 (+1.8%) | 4.2 | 0.2% | 41m | 1.9d ago · 50× | 26% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 5% ±9 | 25% ±49 | 31% | 95% | 5.9d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| at post · 3,976 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,957 (-0.5%) | 1.1 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 54% ±25 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 41% ±10 | 54% ±25 | 67% ±41 | 71% ±63 | 10h | 2.57% | 0.74% | 91 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.