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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-28 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,668 (+15.8%) | 33 | 0.5% | 5h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 7% ±36 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 18 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,635.56 (+15.0%) | 31 | 0.7% | 5h | 21.4d ago · 44× | building | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 6% ±12 | 6% ±27 | 6% | 94% | 4.7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 15 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 4,503.03 (+11.7%) | 24 | 1.9% | 15h | 3.2d ago · 79× | building | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 12 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+6.6%) | 14 | 3.4% | 1.4d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 4% ±20 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 9% ±40 | 97% | 3.9d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 28 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,427.44 (+6.1%) | 13 | 1.5% | 11h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 17% ±30 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 2% ±5 | 16% ±27 | 39% ±67 | 76% | 6.0d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 39 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,257.16 (+5.6%) | 12 | 0.5% | 2h | 105.4d ago · 18× | 8% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,220.26 (+4.7%) | 9.8 | 0.3% | 48m | 3.4d ago · 97× | 2% ±6 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 16% ±25 | 52% ±49 | 6.3d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 148 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 4,183.13 (+3.8%) | 7.8 | 1.4% | 12h | 3.2d ago · 104× | 4% ±11 | 57% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±11 | 19% ±38 | 55% ±69 | 5.6d | 2.22% | 1.44% | 76 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,050.42 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 0.3% | 58m | 22.9d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,049.04–4,124.72 (+0.4%) | 0.9 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.9d ago · 50× | 60% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 44% ±19 | 63% ±47 | 78% | 78% | 9h | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| at post · 4,031.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,957 (-1.9%) | 3.9 | 0.5% | 3h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 31% ±17 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 7% ±4 | 31% ±17 | 47% ±31 | 66% ±46 | 3.5d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 179 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.