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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-28 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,668 (+15.3%) | 31 | 0.5% | 5h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 5% ±25 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 23 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,635.56 (+14.5%) | 29 | 0.7% | 5h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 6% ±27 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 4% ±9 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 96% | 4.5d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 21 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 4,503.03 (+11.2%) | 23 | 2.0% | 16h | 3.3d ago · 79× | 8% ±37 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 17 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+6.2%) | 12 | 3.5% | 1.5d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 7% ±22 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±19 | 11% ±44 | 97% | 3.9d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 33 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,427.44 (+5.6%) | 11 | 1.6% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 15% ±27 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 2% ±4 | 14% ±24 | 37% ±55 | 72% | 6.2d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 49 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,257.16 (+5.1%) | 10 | 0.5% | 2h | 105.5d ago · 18× | 6% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 4% ±9 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,221.16 (+4.2%) | 8.6 | 0.3% | 49m | 3.5d ago · 97× | 4% ±7 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 20% ±26 | 52% ±49 | 6.3d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 166 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 4,185.17 (+3.3%) | 6.8 | 1.5% | 12h | 3.3d ago · 104× | 4% ±10 | 57% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 19% ±34 | 50% ±69 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.44% | 83 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,058.5–4,124.72 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 0.3% | 57m | 2.0d ago · 50× | 63% ±67 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 65% ±24 | 65% ±54 | 88% | 88% | 1h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| at post · 4,049.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 4,041.96 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 0.6% | 4h | 3.0d ago · 59× | 69% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 44% ±18 | 69% ±41 | 75% ±60 | 78% | 6h | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,965.96 (-2.1%) | 4.2 | 0.5% | 2h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 29% ±16 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 6% ±3 | 28% ±16 | 44% ±31 | 65% ±47 | 3.8d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 187 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 4,049.6 | 4,503.03 | 3,929.27 | expired | +4.33% |