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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-29 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,668 (+13.4%) | 23 | 0.6% | 7h | 3.5d ago · 70× | 2% ±10 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 38% | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 48 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,654.48 (+13.0%) | 22 | 0.8% | 8h | 21.6d ago · 44× | 3% ±11 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 3% ±4 | 3% ±10 | 11% ±30 | 74% ±61 | 5.2d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 65 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 4,503.03 (+9.4%) | 16 | 2.4% | 19h | 3.4d ago · 79× | 3% ±12 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 46% | > 7d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 40 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+4.4%) | 7.6 | 4.1% | 1.7d | 3.4d ago · 67× | 14% ±24 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±6 | 14% ±24 | 23% ±48 | 98% | 4.4d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 48 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,427.44 (+3.9%) | 6.6 | 1.8% | 14h | 1.4d ago · 83× | 10% ±16 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±16 | 31% ±45 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 78 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,257.16 (+3.4%) | 5.8 | 0.5% | 2h | 105.6d ago · 18× | 5% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 4% ±9 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (+2.5%) | 4.2 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.1d ago · 50× | 26% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 8% ±12 | 39% ±48 | 43% | 96% | 5.6d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,215.91 (+2.4%) | 4.1 | 0.4% | 2h | 3.6d ago · 97× | 34% ±16 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 6% ±3 | 34% ±16 | 51% ±30 | 70% ±40 | 2.6d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 195 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 4,180.32 (+1.5%) | 2.6 | 1.8% | 16h | 3.4d ago · 104× | 36% ±26 | 57% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 12% ±7 | 36% ±26 | 51% ±49 | 67% ±65 | 3.0d | 2.22% | 1.44% | 76 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,117.48 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,058.5–4,105.8 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.5d ago · 47× | 79% ±28 | 58% ±24 | 21% ±20 | 21% ±20 | 16 | 55% ±14 | 80% ±28 | 84% ±42 | 88% | 3h | 3.63% | 1.66% | 47 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,041.96 (-1.8%) | 3.1 | 0.7% | 5h | 3.1d ago · 59× | 30% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 9% ±6 | 30% ±23 | 46% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 3.5d | — | — | 92 → 2 |
| 7D VAL | 3,983.36 (-3.3%) | 5.6 | 1.0% | 5h | 3.1d ago · 85× | 17% ±13 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±12 | 32% ±26 | 57% ±43 | 5.1d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 207 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.