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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-29 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,663.94 (+13.2%) | 22 | 0.8% | 9h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±10 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 3% ±4 | 3% ±9 | 11% ±31 | 71% ±63 | 5.2d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 73 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,642.6 (+12.7%) | 21 | 0.8% | 6h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 2% ±8 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 5% ±22 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 63 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 4,507.2 (+9.4%) | 15 | 2.6% | 21h | 3.2d ago · 79× | 2% ±11 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 5% ±31 | 43% | > 7d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 43 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+4.4%) | 7.2 | 4.3% | 1.8d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 13% ±22 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±5 | 13% ±22 | 23% ±47 | 98% | 4.6d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 54 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,427.44 (+3.8%) | 6.2 | 1.9% | 14h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 10% ±16 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±16 | 29% ±45 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 79 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,257.16 (+3.3%) | 5.5 | 0.5% | 2h | 105.4d ago · 18× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (+2.4%) | 4.0 | 0.4% | 1h | 1.9d ago · 50× | 33% ±53 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 8% ±12 | 45% ±49 | 45% | 96% | 5.8d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,213.74 (+2.3%) | 3.7 | 0.5% | 2h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 38% ±17 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 6% ±4 | 38% ±17 | 55% ±31 | 74% ±43 | 1.9d | 1.94% | 1.39% | 183 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 4,183.13 (+1.5%) | 2.5 | 1.9% | 16h | 3.2d ago · 104× | 41% ±28 | 57% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 36% ±19 | 25 | 13% ±8 | 41% ±27 | 54% ±49 | 70% ±64 | 2.6d | 2.22% | 1.44% | 75 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,120.19 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,058.5–4,096.34 (-0.6%) | 1.0 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 69% ±27 | 58% ±24 | 21% ±20 | 21% ±20 | 16 | 46% ±12 | 70% ±27 | 75% ±42 | 83% ±53 | 5h | 3.63% | 1.66% | 67 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,043.56 (-1.9%) | 3.1 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 31% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 9% ±6 | 31% ±23 | 46% ±44 | 54% ±69 | 3.5d | — | — | 91 → 2 |
| 7D VAL | 3,985.22 (-3.3%) | 5.4 | 1.1% | 6h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 18% ±13 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±13 | 33% ±27 | 58% ±43 | 5.0d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 209 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.