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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-29 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,443 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,663.94 (+13.9%) | 22 | 0.8% | 9h | 21.6d ago · 44× | 3% ±9 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 3% ±4 | 3% ±9 | 11% ±30 | 70% ±63 | 5.2d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 75 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,642.6 (+13.3%) | 21 | 0.9% | 7h | 3.6d ago · 70× | 2% ±8 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 5% ±22 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 64 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 4,499 (+9.8%) | 15 | 2.6% | 21h | 3.4d ago · 79× | 2% ±11 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 5% ±25 | 45% | > 7d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 45 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+5.0%) | 7.7 | 4.5% | 1.9d | 3.4d ago · 67× | 13% ±25 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±6 | 13% ±23 | 20% ±45 | 98% | 4.4d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 46 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,427.44 (+4.4%) | 6.8 | 2.0% | 15h | 1.1d ago · 83× | 12% ±17 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±17 | 32% ±46 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 79 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,257.16 (+3.9%) | 6.1 | 0.6% | 2h | 105.6d ago · 18× | 5% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (+3.0%) | 4.7 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.1d ago · 50× | 23% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 7% ±10 | 31% ±45 | 39% | 92% | 5.6d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,144.37 (+1.2%) | 1.8 | 1.0% | 6h | 3.6d ago · 97× | 54% ±25 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 24% ±9 | 54% ±25 | 71% ±40 | 87% ±47 | 20h | 1.94% | 1.39% | 89 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,095.87 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 4,035.36 (-1.5%) | 2.3 | 0.9% | 6h | 3.1d ago · 59× | 36% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 10% ±7 | 35% ±26 | 47% ±49 | 55% ±69 | 3.5d | — | — | 77 → 2 |
| 7D POC | 4,015.83 (-2.0%) | 3.0 | 1.8% | 20h | 3.2d ago · 106× | 42% ±23 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±23 | 62% ±39 | 75% ±60 | 1.6d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 99 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,870.97 (-5.5%) | 8.5 | 0.3% | 1h | 3.1d ago · 85× | 8% ±9 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±9 | 16% ±21 | 38% ±43 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 217 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.