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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-29 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,682.86 (+13.1%) | 17 | 0.5% | 3h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 2% ±5 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 2% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 15% ±26 | 55% ±56 | 6.0d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 127 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,462.07 (+7.8%) | 10 | 4.1% | 1.7d | 3.3d ago · 70× | 12% ±11 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±11 | 30% ±28 | 63% ±47 | 5.3d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 178 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+3.9%) | 5.1 | 5.2% | 2.2d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 14% ±24 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±5 | 14% ±22 | 30% ±52 | 65% | 5.6d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 51 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,427.44 (+3.3%) | 4.4 | 2.4% | 18h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 14% ±18 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 1% ±2 | 14% ±17 | 25% ±38 | 33% ±65 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 87 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,247.7 (+2.6%) | 3.4 | 0.3% | 1h | 105.4d ago · 18× | 5% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (+1.9%) | 2.5 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.9d ago · 50× | 38% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 12% ±13 | 50% ±49 | 62% | 65% | 1.0d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,213.74 (+1.8%) | 2.4 | 0.6% | 3h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 54% ±22 | 46% ±20 | 11% ±12 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 16% ±7 | 54% ±22 | 70% ±37 | 88% ±37 | 20h | 1.94% | 1.39% | 113 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,166.81–4,178.96 (+0.6%) | 0.9 | 2.5% | 20h | 3.2d ago · 104× | 79% ±20 | 47% ±20 | 6% ±10 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 57% ±10 | 79% ±20 | 86% ±30 | 94% ±34 | 3h | 2.14% | 1.60% | 96 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,140 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,049.04–4,086.88 (-1.3%) | 1.7 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 53% ±27 | 58% ±24 | 21% ±20 | 21% ±20 | 16 | 24% ±9 | 54% ±27 | 60% ±48 | 66% ±66 | 19h | 3.63% | 1.66% | 80 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,985.22 (-3.7%) | 5.0 | 1.4% | 8h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 21% ±14 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±13 | 35% ±27 | 60% ±43 | 4.8d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 212 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,822 (-7.7%) | 10 | <0.1% | 8m | 2.9d ago · 59× | 6% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 17% ±21 | 42% ±43 | > 7d | — | — | 224 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.