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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-29 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,701.78 (+11.3%) | 14 | 0.6% | 4h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 2% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 15% ±24 | 51% ±49 | 6.9d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 169 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,462.07 (+5.6%) | 7.1 | 4.4% | 1.8d | 3.3d ago · 70× | 16% ±13 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±13 | 40% ±30 | 64% ±47 | 5.0d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 176 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+1.8%) | 2.2 | 5.5% | 2.4d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 33% ±46 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 19% ±15 | 33% ±46 | 52% | 64% | 2.8d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 25 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,427.44 (+1.2%) | 1.5 | 2.6% | 19h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 53% ±29 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 26% ±10 | 53% ±29 | 63% ±47 | 63% ±67 | 14h | 2.34% | 1.46% | 68 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,247.7 (+0.5%) | 0.7 | 0.3% | 1h | 105.4d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| at post · 4,224.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 4,178.96 (-1.1%) | 1.4 | 2.9% | 24h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 67% ±27 | 54% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 49% ±11 | 67% ±27 | 84% ±36 | 89% ±43 | 5h | 2.62% | 1.85% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,146.52 (-1.9%) | 2.3 | 1.6% | 11h | 3.3d ago · 65× | 56% ±37 | 47% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 28% ±14 | 56% ±37 | 67% ±65 | 74% | 22h | 2.62% | 1.77% | 41 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,049.04–4,086.88 (-3.3%) | 4.1 | 0.7% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 23% ±16 | 58% ±24 | 21% ±20 | 21% ±20 | 16 | 5% ±3 | 23% ±16 | 32% ±30 | 34% ±46 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.66% | 153 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 4,013.01 (-5.0%) | 6.3 | 2.3% | 1.1d | 3.0d ago · 106× | 12% ±15 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±15 | 24% ±34 | 51% ±57 | 6.6d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 109 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,867.19 (-8.5%) | 11 | 0.4% | 57m | 2.9d ago · 85× | 3% ±5 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 6% ±14 | 21% ±36 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 197 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,822 (-9.5%) | 12 | 0.1% | 9m | 2.9d ago · 59× | 3% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 10% ±16 | 31% ±37 | > 7d | — | — | 251 → 6 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.