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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-30 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,711.24 (+12.1%) | 16 | 0.6% | 6h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 1% ±5 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 15% ±24 | 52% ±49 | 6.7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 148 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,453.86 (+6.0%) | 7.9 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 70× | 15% ±13 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±13 | 38% ±30 | 67% ±46 | 4.8d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 183 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+2.3%) | 3.0 | 5.3% | 2.3d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 27% ±33 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 12% ±10 | 27% ±33 | 49% ±69 | 67% | 5.6d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 40 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,427.44 (+1.7%) | 2.3 | 2.4% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 39% ±28 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 11% ±7 | 39% ±28 | 46% ±49 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 73 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,247.7 (+1.0%) | 1.4 | 0.3% | 1h | 105.5d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.0d ago · 50× | 63% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 63% ±23 | 63% ±55 | 84% | 95% | 1h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| at post · 4,203.72 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 4,178.96 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 2.7% | 23h | 3.1d ago · 85× | 79% ±23 | 54% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 64% ±11 | 78% ±23 | 90% ±29 | 91% ±39 | 2h | 2.62% | 1.85% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,149.15 (-1.3%) | 1.7 | 1.6% | 11h | 3.4d ago · 65× | 61% ±43 | 47% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 35% ±17 | 60% ±43 | 72% ±62 | 72% | 16h | 2.62% | 1.77% | 32 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,049.04–4,086.88 (-2.8%) | 3.7 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 27% ±18 | 58% ±24 | 21% ±20 | 21% ±20 | 16 | 6% ±4 | 27% ±18 | 36% ±33 | 38% ±55 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.66% | 140 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,006.82 (-4.7%) | 6.2 | 2.1% | 23h | 3.1d ago · 106× | 13% ±15 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 3% ±3 | 12% ±15 | 25% ±35 | 52% ±57 | 6.6d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 111 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,868.74 (-8.0%) | 11 | 0.4% | 1h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 3% ±6 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 7% ±15 | 22% ±36 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 199 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,822 (-9.1%) | 12 | <0.1% | 8m | 3.0d ago · 59× | 3% ±5 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 10% ±16 | 30% ±37 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 253 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.