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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-30 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,720.7 (+12.8%) | 17 | 0.6% | 7h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 1% ±5 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 14% ±24 | 51% ±57 | 6.9d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 138 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,453.86 (+6.4%) | 8.3 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 3.4d ago · 70× | 14% ±12 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±12 | 36% ±28 | 66% ±42 | 4.9d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 189 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+2.7%) | 3.5 | 5.3% | 2.3d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 23% ±31 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 6% ±7 | 22% ±29 | 43% ±56 | 65% | 5.8d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 45 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,427.44 (+2.1%) | 2.8 | 2.5% | 18h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 36% ±27 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 9% ±7 | 36% ±26 | 41% ±48 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 75 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,247.7 (+1.5%) | 1.9 | 0.3% | 1h | 105.5d ago · 18× | 7% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 7% ±14 | 7% ±35 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (+0.8%) | 1.0 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.0d ago · 50× | 63% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 45% ±18 | 64% ±42 | 82% ±53 | 97% | 9h | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| at post · 4,186.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 4,178.96 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.8% | 23h | 3.1d ago · 85× | 84% ±24 | 54% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 74% ±12 | 84% ±24 | 91% ±32 | 91% | 1h | 2.62% | 1.85% | 55 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,144.9 (-1.0%) | 1.3 | 1.5% | 9h | 3.4d ago · 65× | 69% ±37 | 47% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 49% ±17 | 69% ±37 | 77% ±58 | 77% | 6h | 2.62% | 1.77% | 35 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,049.04–4,086.88 (-2.4%) | 3.1 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 29% ±19 | 60% ±23 | 20% ±19 | 20% ±19 | 17 | 8% ±5 | 29% ±19 | 38% ±34 | 40% ±55 | > 7d | 3.52% | 1.53% | 135 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,006.82 (-4.3%) | 5.6 | 2.2% | 23h | 3.1d ago · 106× | 16% ±17 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 4% ±3 | 16% ±17 | 31% ±37 | 56% ±56 | 5.5d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 109 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,868.74 (-7.6%) | 9.9 | 0.4% | 1h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 5% ±7 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 10% ±17 | 29% ±40 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 214 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,822 (-8.7%) | 11 | <0.1% | 8m | 3.0d ago · 59× | 4% ±6 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 12% ±17 | 33% ±38 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 246 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.