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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-01 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,443 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+14.5%) | 18 | 0.3% | 2h | 21.7d ago · 44× | 2% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 2% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 14% ±25 | 51% ±57 | 6.7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 127 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+3.9%) | 4.8 | 5.5% | 2.4d | 3.4d ago · 67× | 14% ±24 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±5 | 13% ±22 | 27% ±51 | 52% | 6.4d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 55 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,232.3 (+2.3%) | 2.8 | 0.5% | 2h | 3.6d ago · 70× | 52% ±30 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 24% ±10 | 51% ±30 | 72% ±44 | 77% ±58 | 23h | 2.23% | 1.75% | 66 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (+2.0%) | 2.4 | 0.9% | 5h | 2.2d ago · 50× | 52% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 13% ±13 | 49% ±44 | 61% ±68 | 97% | 1.0d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (+1.3%) | 1.6 | 2.8% | 22h | 105.7d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 13% ±18 | 13% ±47 | 13% | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,162.56–4,190.94 (+0.6%) | 0.7 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 1.1d ago · 83× | 79% ±25 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 61% ±12 | 80% ±25 | 88% ±37 | 88% | 3h | 2.34% | 1.46% | 62 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 4,162.55 (+0.6%) | 0.7 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 79× | 85% ±25 | 30% ±22 | 5% ±10 | 65% ±23 | 17 | 69% ±12 | 85% ±23 | 91% ±33 | 93% | 1h | 2.04% | 1.80% | 53 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,138.47 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 4,132.16 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.0% | 12h | 3.6d ago · 65× | 78% ±40 | 47% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 73% ±18 | 81% ±39 | 81% | 81% | 1h | 2.62% | 1.77% | 24 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,049.04–4,086.88 (-1.2%) | 1.5 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 47× | 56% ±27 | 60% ±23 | 20% ±19 | 20% ±19 | 17 | 29% ±10 | 58% ±26 | 64% ±42 | 70% ±64 | 15h | 3.52% | 1.53% | 82 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,006.82 (-3.2%) | 3.9 | 2.3% | 24h | 3.3d ago · 106× | 32% ±22 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 5% ±4 | 31% ±21 | 53% ±40 | 66% ±53 | 2.6d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 113 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,847.49 (-7.0%) | 8.7 | 0.2% | 27m | 3.2d ago · 85× | 7% ±8 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 15% ±19 | 38% ±42 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 225 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,830.21 (-7.4%) | 9.2 | 0.2% | 18m | 3.2d ago · 59× | 8% ±9 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 21% ±23 | 46% ±44 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 214 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 4,138.47 | 4,138.53 | 4,006.82 | target | +5.62% |