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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-01 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,730.16 (+10.3%) | 11 | 0.5% | 5h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 3% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 16% ±22 | 47% ±44 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 192 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 4,455.82–4,522.04 (+3.9%) | 4.2 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 1.3d ago · 83× | 15% ±18 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 2% ±3 | 17% ±18 | 32% ±41 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 93 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 6.5% | 2.8d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 97% ±13 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 91% ±10 | 97% ±13 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 1h | 0.99% | 1.96% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,289.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,228.78–4,257.16 (-0.8%) | 0.8 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 72% ±28 | 60% ±23 | 20% ±19 | 20% ±19 | 17 | 46% ±12 | 72% ±26 | 79% ±40 | 85% ±50 | 5h | 3.52% | 1.53% | 65 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,240.51 (-1.2%) | 1.2 | 0.5% | 1h | 13.9d ago · 55× | 75% ±26 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 46% ±12 | 75% ±26 | 85% ±35 | 85% ±49 | 6h | 2.93% | 1.82% | 66 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-2.3%) | 2.5 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 31× | 17% ±30 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 9% ±10 | 17% ±30 | 17% ±52 | 17% | > 7d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,153.1–4,190.94 (-2.3%) | 2.5 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 49% ±30 | 44% ±20 | 26% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 16% ±9 | 49% ±30 | 76% ±42 | 82% ±53 | 1.0d | 1.92% | 1.45% | 66 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 4,162.55 (-3.0%) | 3.2 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 39% ±27 | 52% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 11% ±7 | 39% ±27 | 63% ±47 | 70% ±64 | 1.7d | 2.53% | 1.89% | 80 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,136.34 (-3.6%) | 3.9 | 2.7% | 17h | 3.4d ago · 65× | 25% ±23 | 47% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 6% ±5 | 26% ±22 | 47% ±44 | 54% ±69 | 5.3d | 2.62% | 1.77% | 87 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,007.06 (-6.6%) | 7.1 | 2.7% | 1.2d | 3.1d ago · 106× | 6% ±11 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±11 | 15% ±28 | 43% ±56 | > 7d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 113 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,847.35–3,863.03 (-10.0%) | 11 | 0.4% | 53m | 3.0d ago · 85× | 3% ±6 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 10% ±16 | 29% ±36 | > 7d | 2.60% | 0.77% | 237 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 4,289.99 | 4,474.38 | 4,162.55 | expired | +2.23% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 4,289.99 | 4,299.73 | 4,093.88 | target | +2.23% |