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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-01 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,730.16 (+10.5%) | 11 | 0.5% | 5h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 3% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 16% ±22 | 47% ±44 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 193 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 4,455.82–4,522.04 (+4.1%) | 4.3 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 1.2d ago · 83× | 13% ±17 | 64% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 1% ±2 | 14% ±18 | 30% ±40 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.55% | 92 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 6.9% | 2.9d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 97% ±13 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 92% ±9 | 97% ±13 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 1h | 0.99% | 1.96% | 34 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,282.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,228.78–4,257.16 (-0.6%) | 0.6 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 78% ±27 | 60% ±23 | 20% ±19 | 20% ±19 | 17 | 51% ±13 | 77% ±26 | 81% ±45 | 86% | 4h | 3.52% | 1.53% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,240.51 (-1.0%) | 1.0 | 0.5% | 1h | 13.9d ago · 55× | 81% ±22 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 58% ±11 | 80% ±22 | 89% ±31 | 89% ±44 | 3h | 2.93% | 1.82% | 72 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-2.1%) | 2.3 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 31× | 19% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 9% ±10 | 19% ±34 | 19% ±54 | 19% | > 7d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,143.64–4,190.94 (-2.1%) | 2.3 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 51% ±30 | 44% ±20 | 26% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 18% ±9 | 51% ±30 | 77% ±41 | 83% ±52 | 22h | 1.92% | 1.45% | 64 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 4,162.55 (-2.8%) | 3.0 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 3.0d ago · 85× | 42% ±27 | 52% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 13% ±8 | 41% ±27 | 64% ±47 | 70% ±63 | 1.5d | 2.53% | 1.89% | 76 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,141.41 (-3.3%) | 3.5 | 2.9% | 19h | 3.4d ago · 65× | 30% ±25 | 45% ±24 | 5% ±10 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 8% ±6 | 30% ±24 | 54% ±44 | 60% ±68 | 2.6d | 2.92% | 1.61% | 81 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,007.06 (-6.4%) | 6.8 | 2.7% | 1.2d | 3.0d ago · 106× | 9% ±13 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±13 | 19% ±31 | 46% ±56 | > 7d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 115 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,846.62–3,847.35 (-10.2%) | 11 | 0.3% | 32m | 3.0d ago · 85× | 3% ±6 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±16 | 29% ±36 | > 7d | 2.60% | 0.77% | 241 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.