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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-01 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,730.16 (+9.4%) | 11 | 0.5% | 5h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 3% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 17% ±22 | 46% ±44 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 196 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 4,389.6–4,399.06 (+1.5%) | 1.7 | 2.8% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 46% ±28 | 64% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 21% ±9 | 48% ±28 | 59% ±48 | 60% ±68 | 1.3d | 2.14% | 1.55% | 71 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,322.64 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (-0.5%) | 0.6 | 6.9% | 2.8d | 3.1d ago · 72× | 73% ±31 | 72% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 22% ±21 | 15 | 65% ±14 | 73% ±31 | 82% ±44 | 86% | 1h | 3.41% | 0.53% | 47 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,228.78–4,257.16 (-1.5%) | 1.7 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 55% ±26 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 24% ±9 | 54% ±26 | 60% ±43 | 66% ±66 | 20h | 3.63% | 1.19% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,240.51 (-1.9%) | 2.1 | 0.5% | 1h | 13.9d ago · 55× | 54% ±35 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 20% ±11 | 54% ±35 | 74% ±50 | 82% | 20h | 2.93% | 1.82% | 49 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-3.0%) | 3.4 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 31× | 10% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±5 | 10% ±19 | 10% ±34 | 10% | > 7d | — | — | 58 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,143.64–4,190.94 (-3.0%) | 3.4 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 51% ±28 | 44% ±20 | 26% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 11% ±7 | 50% ±28 | 77% ±41 | 80% ±55 | 1.0d | 1.92% | 1.45% | 71 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 4,162.55 (-3.7%) | 4.1 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 27% ±20 | 52% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 5% ±4 | 27% ±20 | 51% ±40 | 63% ±55 | 2.9d | 2.53% | 1.89% | 116 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,139.99 (-4.2%) | 4.7 | 2.7% | 18h | 3.4d ago · 65× | 18% ±18 | 45% ±24 | 5% ±10 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 4% ±4 | 18% ±18 | 38% ±39 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | 2.92% | 1.61% | 102 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,007.06 (-7.3%) | 8.2 | 2.6% | 1.2d | 3.1d ago · 106× | 4% ±8 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 11% ±24 | 36% ±54 | > 7d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 127 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,830.21–3,842.85 (-11.1%) | 12 | 0.3% | 26m | 3.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±3 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±12 | 22% ±33 | > 7d | 2.60% | 0.77% | 268 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.