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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-01 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,730.16 (+9.2%) | 11 | 0.5% | 5h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 17% ±22 | 46% ±44 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 197 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 4,389.6–4,399.06 (+1.3%) | 1.5 | 2.8% | 13h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 53% ±28 | 64% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 28% ±10 | 53% ±28 | 65% ±47 | 65% ±66 | 14h | 2.14% | 1.55% | 74 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,332.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (-0.8%) | 0.9 | 6.8% | 2.8d | 3.0d ago · 72× | 72% ±29 | 72% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 22% ±21 | 15 | 63% ±13 | 72% ±29 | 83% ±42 | 87% | 1h | 3.41% | 0.53% | 52 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,228.78–4,257.16 (-1.8%) | 2.0 | 0.9% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 47% ±25 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 15% ±7 | 46% ±25 | 55% ±44 | 62% ±67 | 1.3d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 91 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,232.3 (-2.3%) | 2.7 | 0.6% | 3h | 13.8d ago · 55× | 37% ±36 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 13% ±10 | 37% ±33 | 61% ±55 | 76% | 1.8d | 2.93% | 1.82% | 45 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-3.3%) | 3.8 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 31× | 8% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±27 | 8% ±38 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 4,143.64–4,190.94 (-3.3%) | 3.8 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 85× | 47% ±29 | 44% ±20 | 26% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 10% ±7 | 47% ±28 | 80% ±39 | 81% ±54 | 1.0d | 1.92% | 1.45% | 71 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH | 4,145.2–4,162.55 (-3.9%) | 4.5 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 3.0d ago · 85× | 21% ±18 | 49% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 47% ±21 | 22 | 4% ±3 | 21% ±18 | 42% ±37 | 55% ±56 | 4.8d | 2.70% | 1.77% | 122 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,007.06 (-7.5%) | 8.7 | 2.5% | 1.1d | 3.0d ago · 106× | 3% ±7 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 10% ±22 | 33% ±53 | > 7d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 128 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,879.44 (-10.5%) | 12 | 0.7% | 3h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 3% ±5 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 10% ±15 | 30% ±37 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 266 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,842.85 (-11.3%) | 13 | 0.2% | 25m | 2.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±3 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±9 | 12% ±28 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 194 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.