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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-02 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+9.4%) | 11 | 0.3% | 2h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 3% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 16% ±22 | 46% ±44 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 197 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 4,389.6–4,399.06 (+1.3%) | 1.5 | 2.9% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 55% ±28 | 64% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 31% ±10 | 56% ±27 | 68% ±46 | 68% ±65 | 13h | 2.14% | 1.55% | 78 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,333.16 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (-0.8%) | 0.9 | 6.8% | 2.8d | 3.1d ago · 72× | 72% ±29 | 72% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 22% ±21 | 15 | 64% ±13 | 73% ±29 | 84% ±42 | 87% | 1h | 3.41% | 0.53% | 53 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (-1.8%) | 2.0 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 48% ±26 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 15% ±7 | 47% ±25 | 55% ±44 | 62% ±67 | 1.3d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 89 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,232.3 (-2.3%) | 2.6 | 0.6% | 3h | 13.9d ago · 55× | 37% ±36 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 12% ±10 | 36% ±33 | 61% ±55 | 76% | 1.8d | 2.93% | 1.82% | 46 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-3.3%) | 3.7 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 31× | 9% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±27 | 8% ±38 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 4,143.64–4,190.94 (-3.3%) | 3.7 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 48% ±28 | 43% ±19 | 25% ±17 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±27 | 78% ±41 | 79% ±56 | 1.0d | 1.92% | 1.52% | 75 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH | 4,144.48–4,162.55 (-3.9%) | 4.4 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 22% ±18 | 49% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 47% ±21 | 22 | 4% ±3 | 21% ±18 | 42% ±37 | 55% ±56 | 4.8d | 2.70% | 1.77% | 123 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 4,008.26 (-7.5%) | 8.5 | 2.6% | 1.2d | 3.1d ago · 106× | 3% ±7 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 10% ±23 | 34% ±54 | > 7d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 131 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,879.44 (-10.5%) | 12 | 0.7% | 3h | 3.0d ago · 59× | 3% ±5 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 10% ±15 | 31% ±37 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 262 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,844.24 (-11.3%) | 13 | 0.3% | 27m | 3.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±2 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 13% ±30 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 199 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.