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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-03 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+5.4%) | 6.6 | 0.3% | 2h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 9% ±11 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±11 | 26% ±29 | 47% ±49 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 161 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,517.72 (+0.5%) | 0.6 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 3.5d ago · 97× | 85% ±20 | 43% ±19 | 10% ±11 | 47% ±19 | 27 | 65% ±11 | 86% ±19 | 92% ±26 | 94% ±34 | 2h | 1.89% | 1.84% | 75 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,494.98 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,370.68–4,417.98 (-1.7%) | 2.1 | 3.4% | 17h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 48% ±31 | 43% ±19 | 25% ±17 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 17% ±9 | 47% ±30 | 74% ±43 | 83% ±52 | 1.0d | 1.92% | 1.52% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (-4.3%) | 5.2 | 5.9% | 2.6d | 3.1d ago · 72× | 25% ±20 | 74% ±22 | 5% ±11 | 21% ±20 | 16 | 4% ±3 | 24% ±19 | 50% ±40 | 76% ±48 | 2.9d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 111 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (-5.3%) | 6.4 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 10% ±10 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±10 | 16% ±21 | 19% ±34 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 195 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,234.72 (-5.8%) | 7.0 | 0.5% | 2h | 13.9d ago · 55× | 6% ±12 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±11 | 23% ±37 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 2.93% | 1.82% | 94 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-6.8%) | 8.2 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 1.4d ago · 31× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±17 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | — | — | 169 → 4 |
| 14D POC | 4,172.08 (-7.2%) | 8.7 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 7% ±9 | 52% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±9 | 17% ±23 | 36% ±47 | > 7d | 2.53% | 1.89% | 185 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 4,135.88 (-8.0%) | 9.6 | 2.5% | 16h | 3.1d ago · 106× | 2% ±6 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 5% ±15 | 27% ±50 | > 7d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 141 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,049.88 (-9.9%) | 12 | 0.8% | 4h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 0% ±2 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±10 | 15% ±32 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 212 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,844.11 (-14.5%) | 17 | 0.3% | 26m | 3.0d ago · 59× | 0% ±2 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 10% ±24 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 247 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 4,494.98 | 4,135.88 | 4,601.93 | expired | +0.07% |