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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-03 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+6.2%) | 7.5 | 0.3% | 2h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 5% ±8 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 22% ±26 | 44% ±49 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 186 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,497.08 (+0.7%) | 0.9 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 3.5d ago · 97× | 82% ±20 | 43% ±19 | 10% ±11 | 47% ±19 | 27 | 60% ±10 | 82% ±20 | 91% ±25 | 93% ±35 | 2h | 1.89% | 1.84% | 86 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,464.55 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,408.52–4,436.9 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 2.9% | 12h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 81% ±20 | 43% ±19 | 25% ±17 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 67% ±10 | 82% ±20 | 86% ±31 | 92% ±37 | 1h | 1.92% | 1.52% | 90 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (-3.7%) | 4.5 | 5.6% | 2.5d | 3.1d ago · 72× | 35% ±23 | 74% ±22 | 5% ±11 | 21% ±20 | 16 | 6% ±5 | 34% ±22 | 58% ±39 | 76% ±59 | 2.4d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 99 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (-4.6%) | 5.7 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 15% ±13 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±12 | 22% ±25 | 25% ±43 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 188 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,234.72 (-5.1%) | 6.3 | 0.5% | 2h | 13.9d ago · 55× | 7% ±13 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±12 | 26% ±38 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | 2.93% | 1.82% | 94 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-6.1%) | 7.5 | 3.2% | 1.0d | 1.4d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 7% ±17 | 22% ±40 | > 7d | — | — | 158 → 4 |
| 14D POC | 4,172.08 (-6.6%) | 8.0 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 11% ±11 | 52% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 21% ±25 | 41% ±48 | > 7d | 2.53% | 1.89% | 179 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 4,135.88 (-7.4%) | 9.0 | 2.5% | 16h | 3.1d ago · 106× | 3% ±7 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 8% ±19 | 31% ±52 | > 7d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 142 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,077.4 (-8.7%) | 11 | 0.6% | 1h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 3% ±5 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 6% ±14 | 21% ±36 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 218 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,836.74 (-14.1%) | 17 | 0.2% | 20m | 3.0d ago · 59× | 0% ±2 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 10% ±24 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 247 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.