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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-03 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+5.8%) | 7.0 | 0.3% | 2h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 6% ±9 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±9 | 24% ±26 | 44% ±49 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 178 → 4 | |
| at post · 4,480.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 4,480.44 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.4% | 2.0d | 3.4d ago · 65× | 84% ±36 | 45% ±24 | 5% ±10 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 80% ±16 | 84% ±36 | 84% | 84% | 1h | 2.92% | 1.61% | 23 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,380.14–4,436.9 (-1.0%) | 1.2 | 2.9% | 12h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 68% ±24 | 43% ±19 | 25% ±17 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 51% ±10 | 69% ±23 | 82% ±33 | 90% ±42 | 4h | 1.92% | 1.52% | 97 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (-4.0%) | 4.9 | 5.6% | 2.5d | 3.1d ago · 72× | 28% ±21 | 74% ±22 | 5% ±11 | 21% ±20 | 16 | 4% ±4 | 27% ±21 | 53% ±40 | 75% ±49 | 2.8d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 107 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (-5.0%) | 6.1 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 11% ±11 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±11 | 17% ±23 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 188 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,234.72 (-5.5%) | 6.7 | 0.5% | 2h | 13.9d ago · 55× | 7% ±13 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±12 | 26% ±38 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | 2.93% | 1.82% | 94 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-6.5%) | 7.9 | 3.2% | 1.0d | 1.4d ago · 31× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 8% ±17 | 22% ±40 | > 7d | — | — | 163 → 4 |
| 14D POC | 4,172.08 (-6.9%) | 8.4 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 9% ±10 | 52% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±10 | 19% ±25 | 38% ±48 | > 7d | 2.53% | 1.89% | 185 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 4,136.72 (-7.7%) | 9.4 | 2.5% | 16h | 3.1d ago · 106× | 2% ±6 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 5% ±15 | 27% ±50 | > 7d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 142 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,074.53 (-9.1%) | 11 | 0.6% | 1h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 4% ±12 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 213 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,836.74 (-14.4%) | 18 | 0.2% | 20m | 3.0d ago · 59× | 0% ±2 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 10% ±24 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 249 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 4,480.59 | 4,886.5 | 4,136.72 | expired | -0.06% |