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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-03 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+4.8%) | 5.8 | 0.3% | 2h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 12% ±14 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 12% ±14 | 30% ±34 | 49% ±57 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 133 → 3 | |
| at post · 4,523.25 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 4,477.84 (-1.0%) | 1.2 | 4.6% | 2.1d | 3.4d ago · 65× | 76% ±32 | 45% ±24 | 5% ±10 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 55% ±15 | 76% ±32 | 83% ±52 | 83% | 3h | 2.92% | 1.61% | 40 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,427.44–4,436.9 (-1.9%) | 2.3 | 2.8% | 12h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 46% ±29 | 45% ±19 | 24% ±16 | 31% ±18 | 26 | 18% ±9 | 49% ±28 | 74% ±43 | 81% ±54 | 1.0d | 2.29% | 1.52% | 71 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (-4.9%) | 5.9 | 5.7% | 2.5d | 3.1d ago · 72× | 16% ±17 | 74% ±22 | 5% ±11 | 21% ±20 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±16 | 44% ±40 | 71% ±51 | 3.8d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 114 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (-5.9%) | 7.1 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 7% ±9 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±9 | 12% ±19 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 197 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,237.17 (-6.3%) | 7.6 | 0.4% | 1h | 13.9d ago · 55× | 5% ±11 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±11 | 22% ±36 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | 2.93% | 1.82% | 97 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-7.3%) | 8.8 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 1.4d ago · 31× | 4% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 9% ±17 | 22% ±36 | > 7d | — | — | 195 → 5 |
| 14D POC | 4,171.82 (-7.8%) | 9.3 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 5% ±8 | 52% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 13% ±20 | 31% ±41 | > 7d | 2.53% | 1.89% | 194 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 4,135.73 (-8.6%) | 10 | 2.5% | 16h | 3.1d ago · 106× | 2% ±5 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 24% ±48 | > 7d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 136 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,076.09 (-9.9%) | 12 | 0.6% | 1h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 0% ±2 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±10 | 16% ±32 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 216 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,829.69 (-15.3%) | 18 | 0.2% | 18m | 3.0d ago · 59× | 0% ±2 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 8% ±22 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 241 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.