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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-04 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,443 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+5.3%) | 5.9 | 0.3% | 2h | 21.6d ago · 44× | 10% ±13 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±12 | 29% ±31 | 49% ±57 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 140 → 3 | |
| at post · 4,499.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 4,477.84 (-0.5%) | 0.5 | 4.9% | 2.2d | 3.6d ago · 65× | 86% ±27 | 45% ±24 | 5% ±10 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 70% ±15 | 87% ±27 | 87% ±47 | 87% | 1h | 2.92% | 1.61% | 38 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,380.14–4,417.98 (-1.8%) | 2.0 | 3.5% | 18h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 45% ±32 | 45% ±19 | 24% ±16 | 31% ±18 | 26 | 19% ±10 | 48% ±31 | 74% ±49 | 84% | 1.0d | 2.29% | 1.52% | 61 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (-4.5%) | 4.9 | 6.1% | 2.7d | 3.2d ago · 72× | 27% ±20 | 74% ±22 | 5% ±11 | 21% ±20 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 26% ±20 | 51% ±40 | 75% ±49 | 2.9d | 3.52% | 0.53% | 113 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,275.61 (-5.0%) | 5.5 | 2.6% | 21h | 14.1d ago · 55× | 8% ±14 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±14 | 33% ±41 | 54% ±69 | 4.3d | 2.93% | 1.82% | 82 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (-5.4%) | 6.0 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 47× | 11% ±11 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±11 | 17% ±22 | 20% ±35 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 193 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D POC | 4,171.82–4,190.94 (-6.9%) | 7.6 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 1.6d ago · 85× | 6% ±8 | 52% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 14% ±21 | 31% ±45 | > 7d | 2.53% | 1.89% | 182 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 4,135.73 (-8.1%) | 9.0 | 2.7% | 17h | 3.2d ago · 106× | 3% ±7 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 8% ±19 | 30% ±52 | > 7d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 146 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,076.09 (-9.4%) | 10 | 0.6% | 1h | 3.1d ago · 85× | 4% ±6 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 7% ±14 | 23% ±37 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 225 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,822 (-15.1%) | 17 | 0.1% | 11m | 3.1d ago · 59× | 0% ±2 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 11% ±25 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 256 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.