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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-04 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+5.5%) | 6.6 | 0.3% | 2h | 21.6d ago · 44× | 9% ±11 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±10 | 26% ±29 | 47% ±49 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 167 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,590.83 (+2.2%) | 2.6 | 2.1% | 17h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 57% ±21 | 42% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 15% ±6 | 57% ±21 | 72% ±33 | 88% ±36 | 18h | 1.84% | 1.94% | 134 → 3 | |
| at post · 4,491.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,468.42 (-0.5%) | 0.6 | 4.7% | 2.1d | 3.1d ago · 106× | 84% ±21 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 69% ±11 | 84% ±21 | 88% ±32 | 93% ±35 | 1h | 2.91% | 1.22% | 72 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,408.52–4,417.98 (-1.6%) | 2.0 | 3.1% | 16h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 46% ±31 | 45% ±19 | 24% ±16 | 31% ±18 | 26 | 19% ±10 | 49% ±30 | 72% ±44 | 84% ±50 | 1.0d | 2.29% | 1.52% | 65 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 4,283.3–4,299.73 (-4.3%) | 5.1 | 5.7% | 2.5d | 3.1d ago · 72× | 18% ±18 | 67% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 29% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±17 | 43% ±40 | 67% ±53 | 3.6d | 3.19% | 1.25% | 116 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (-5.2%) | 6.2 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.5d ago · 47× | 10% ±11 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±10 | 16% ±22 | 19% ±35 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 196 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-6.7%) | 8.0 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 1.5d ago · 31× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±16 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | — | — | 172 → 4 |
| 14D POC | 4,171.82 (-7.1%) | 8.5 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 8% ±10 | 52% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±9 | 18% ±23 | 36% ±42 | > 7d | 2.53% | 1.89% | 191 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,138.86 (-7.9%) | 9.4 | 2.7% | 17h | 3.1d ago · 85× | 6% ±7 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 12% ±17 | 31% ±37 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 243 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,822 (-14.9%) | 18 | 0.1% | 10m | 3.1d ago · 59× | 0% ±2 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 9% ±23 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 250 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.