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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-04 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,443 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.22 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+5.6%) | 7.1 | 0.3% | 2h | 21.7d ago · 44× | 6% ±9 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 23% ±26 | 44% ±49 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 184 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,590.83 (+2.3%) | 2.9 | 2.0% | 16h | 3.6d ago · 97× | 52% ±20 | 42% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 11% ±5 | 52% ±20 | 68% ±32 | 85% ±35 | 21h | 1.84% | 1.94% | 150 → 4 | |
| at post · 4,487.28 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,468.42 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 4.5% | 2.0d | 3.3d ago · 106× | 85% ±20 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 68% ±11 | 84% ±21 | 87% ±33 | 93% ±36 | 1h | 2.91% | 1.22% | 70 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,408.52–4,436.9 (-1.1%) | 1.4 | 2.6% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 65% ±25 | 45% ±19 | 24% ±16 | 31% ±18 | 26 | 42% ±10 | 65% ±23 | 81% ±34 | 89% ±43 | 7h | 2.29% | 1.52% | 94 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 4,283.3–4,299.73 (-4.2%) | 5.3 | 5.5% | 2.4d | 3.3d ago · 72× | 16% ±17 | 67% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 29% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±16 | 40% ±36 | 65% ±54 | 4.6d | 3.19% | 1.25% | 118 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (-5.1%) | 6.5 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 47× | 8% ±9 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 0% ±1 | 8% ±9 | 13% ±20 | 16% ±33 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 200 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-6.6%) | 8.3 | 3.1% | 24h | 1.6d ago · 31× | 3% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±17 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | — | — | 183 → 4 |
| 14D POC | 4,171.82 (-7.0%) | 8.9 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 3.3d ago · 85× | 7% ±9 | 52% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±9 | 16% ±22 | 35% ±42 | > 7d | 2.53% | 1.89% | 196 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,145.14 (-7.6%) | 9.6 | 2.7% | 18h | 3.2d ago · 85× | 5% ±7 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 11% ±17 | 30% ±37 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 238 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,822 (-14.8%) | 19 | 0.1% | 9m | 3.2d ago · 59× | 0% ±2 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 8% ±22 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 243 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.