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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-05 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+3.3%) | 5.2 | 0.2% | 2h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 15% ±16 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±15 | 32% ±35 | 51% ±57 | 6.9d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 125 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,618.44 (+0.7%) | 1.1 | 1.6% | 12h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 79% ±21 | 42% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 55% ±10 | 79% ±20 | 88% ±28 | 93% ±34 | 2h | 1.84% | 1.94% | 90 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,586.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,427.44–4,540.96 (-1.0%) | 1.6 | 1.9% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 63% ±24 | 47% ±19 | 23% ±16 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 37% ±10 | 64% ±24 | 79% ±35 | 88% ±45 | 9h | 2.66% | 1.52% | 93 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,477.54–4,479.47 (-2.3%) | 3.7 | 4.2% | 2.0d | 2.9d ago · 106× | 39% ±22 | 65% ±18 | 4% ±7 | 31% ±17 | 27 | 7% ±5 | 39% ±22 | 57% ±40 | 70% ±52 | 2.1d | 3.14% | 0.97% | 113 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,307.83 (-6.1%) | 9.5 | 3.6% | 1.5d | 13.7d ago · 55× | 3% ±9 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 16% ±32 | 35% ±66 | > 7d | 2.93% | 1.82% | 98 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (-7.2%) | 11 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 1% ±3 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 8% ±23 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 211 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D VAL | 4,181.48–4,184.38 (-8.8%) | 14 | 2.9% | 23h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 3% ±5 | 52% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 6% ±12 | 16% ±27 | > 7d | 2.53% | 1.89% | 276 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,166.26 (-9.2%) | 14 | 3.1% | 1.0d | 2.8d ago · 85× | 1% ±2 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 6% ±21 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 198 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,822 (-16.7%) | 26 | <0.1% | 8m | 2.8d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 6% ±24 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 173 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.