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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-05 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+4.6%) | 6.7 | 0.3% | 2h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 8% ±10 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±10 | 26% ±27 | 47% ±49 | > 7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 177 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,618.44 (+2.0%) | 2.8 | 1.7% | 13h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 54% ±20 | 42% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 13% ±5 | 55% ±20 | 70% ±32 | 86% ±34 | 20h | 1.84% | 1.94% | 148 → 4 | |
| at post · 4,529.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,480.24 (-1.1%) | 1.6 | 4.4% | 2.1d | 2.9d ago · 106× | 62% ±25 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 29% ±10 | 63% ±25 | 73% ±39 | 84% ±51 | 13h | 2.91% | 1.22% | 84 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,276.08–4,342.3 (-4.1%) | 6.0 | 2.3% | 11h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 25% ±21 | 47% ±19 | 23% ±16 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 6% ±4 | 24% ±20 | 46% ±40 | 47% ±56 | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 106 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D POC | 4,299.73–4,307.83 (-4.9%) | 7.1 | 3.9% | 1.6d | 2.9d ago · 72× | 9% ±12 | 67% ±21 | 5% ±9 | 29% ±20 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±12 | 29% ±34 | 54% ±56 | 4.6d | 3.19% | 1.25% | 130 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (-6.0%) | 8.7 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 3% ±6 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 7% ±14 | 12% ±28 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 221 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,174.92–4,184.38 (-7.6%) | 11 | 3.2% | 1.0d | 1.2d ago · 85× | 2% ±5 | 56% ±21 | 10% ±13 | 33% ±20 | 22 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±14 | 20% ±32 | > 7d | 2.55% | 1.34% | 232 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,822 (-15.6%) | 22 | 0.1% | 8m | 2.8d ago · 59× | 0% ±2 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 7% ±23 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 216 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.