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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-07 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,758.54 (+5.8%) | 5.9 | 0.2% | 44m | 21.5d ago · 44× | 9% ±11 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±13 | 34% ±33 | 55% ±49 | 6.4d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 152 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,621.52 (+2.8%) | 2.8 | 2.4% | 17h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 56% ±19 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 12% ±5 | 56% ±19 | 71% ±30 | 87% ±33 | 20h | 1.84% | 1.94% | 154 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 4,588.26–4,597.72 (+2.0%) | 2.0 | 3.2% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 46% ±26 | 61% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 13% ±7 | 46% ±26 | 56% ±44 | 57% ±69 | 1.3d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 82 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 4,507.85 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 6.5% | 2.2d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 97% ±13 | 18% ±20 | 24% ±22 | 59% ±26 | 14 | 92% ±9 | 97% ±13 | 97% ±22 | 97% | 1h | 0.92% | 2.41% | 35 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,497.23 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 4,474.4–4,479.11 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 6.3% | 2.9d | 3.1d ago · 106× | 84% ±21 | 62% ±18 | 4% ±7 | 35% ±17 | 29 | 68% ±11 | 84% ±21 | 87% ±33 | 90% ±41 | 1h | 3.15% | 1.30% | 70 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,295–4,342.3 (-3.4%) | 3.5 | 3.0% | 16h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 45% ±26 | 50% ±18 | 22% ±15 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 9% ±6 | 48% ±25 | 70% ±40 | 72% ±63 | 1.0d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 87 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,296.95 (-4.5%) | 4.5 | 3.7% | 1.5d | 3.0d ago · 85× | 24% ±15 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 5% ±3 | 24% ±15 | 39% ±29 | 59% ±43 | 4.7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 198 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,276.08 (-4.9%) | 5.0 | 1.4% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 47× | 18% ±13 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±13 | 25% ±26 | 29% ±40 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 191 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-6.8%) | 6.9 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 1.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 7% ±17 | 22% ±41 | > 7d | — | — | 149 → 4 |
| 14D POC | 4,162.18 (-7.5%) | 7.5 | 4.4% | 1.4d | 3.1d ago · 85× | 11% ±11 | 52% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 21% ±25 | 41% ±48 | > 7d | 2.53% | 1.89% | 178 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,822 (-15.0%) | 15 | 0.1% | 12m | 3.0d ago · 59× | 0% ±2 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 4% ±9 | 15% ±26 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 278 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 4,497.23 | 4,190.94 | 4,758.54 | expired | +0.06% |