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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-07 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,754–4,758.54 (+5.5%) | 5.6 | 0.2% | 1h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 17% ±14 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±14 | 42% ±32 | 62% ±48 | 5.0d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 164 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,619.4 (+2.5%) | 2.6 | 2.4% | 18h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 59% ±20 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 14% ±6 | 59% ±20 | 74% ±31 | 89% ±36 | 17h | 1.84% | 1.94% | 143 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,588.26–4,597.72 (+1.8%) | 1.8 | 3.1% | 21h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 50% ±27 | 61% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 17% ±8 | 50% ±27 | 61% ±48 | 62% ±67 | 1.1d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 79 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,507.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,479.06–4,488.93 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 6.6% | 2.6d | 2.9d ago · 106× | 81% ±21 | 62% ±18 | 4% ±7 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 67% ±10 | 81% ±21 | 88% ±32 | 91% ±39 | 1h | 3.13% | 1.15% | 80 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,295–4,342.3 (-3.7%) | 3.8 | 2.9% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 41% ±26 | 50% ±18 | 22% ±15 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±25 | 69% ±41 | 70% ±63 | 1.2d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 91 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,311.74 (-4.3%) | 4.5 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 2.8d ago · 85× | 25% ±15 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 4% ±3 | 24% ±15 | 39% ±29 | 59% ±43 | 4.7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 199 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,276.08 (-5.1%) | 5.3 | 1.2% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 16% ±12 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 3% ±2 | 16% ±12 | 23% ±25 | 27% ±39 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 196 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-7.0%) | 7.2 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 1.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 7% ±16 | 22% ±40 | > 7d | — | — | 162 → 4 |
| 14D VAL | 4,092.28 (-9.2%) | 9.5 | 1.2% | 6h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 7% ±8 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 19% ±21 | 42% ±43 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 226 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 4,507.37 | 4,619.4 | 4,311.74 | expired | -0.13% |
| 14d | POC | long | 4,507.37 | 4,754 | 4,092.28 | expired | -0.13% |
| 30d | POC | long | 4,507.37 | 4,758.54 | 4,190.94 | expired | -0.13% |