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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-08 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,754–4,758.54 (+6.2%) | 5.8 | 0.3% | 1h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 16% ±13 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±2 | 16% ±13 | 41% ±30 | 61% ±48 | 5.0d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 175 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,606.19 (+2.9%) | 2.7 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 97× | 57% ±19 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 13% ±5 | 56% ±19 | 72% ±29 | 87% ±33 | 20h | 1.84% | 1.94% | 154 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 4,578.8–4,597.72 (+2.3%) | 2.1 | 3.1% | 19h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 45% ±27 | 61% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 13% ±7 | 43% ±26 | 54% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 1.5d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 85 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,479.06–4,479.84 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 7.7% | 3.5d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 95% ±13 | 39% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 51% ±19 | 27 | 87% ±8 | 95% ±12 | 96% ±19 | 97% ±25 | 1h | 1.83% | 1.79% | 71 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,476.34 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,377.33 (-2.2%) | 2.1 | 2.6% | 14h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 39% ±23 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 15% ±7 | 38% ±23 | 49% ±40 | 54% ±69 | 6.0d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 102 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,304.46–4,332.84 (-3.2%) | 3.0 | 3.3% | 19h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 48% ±26 | 50% ±18 | 22% ±15 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 12% ±7 | 49% ±25 | 71% ±40 | 76% ±59 | 1.0d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 91 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,276.08 (-4.5%) | 4.2 | 1.2% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 24% ±16 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 4% ±3 | 23% ±15 | 31% ±29 | 33% ±46 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 173 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-6.4%) | 6.0 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 1.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 4% ±14 | 18% ±43 | > 7d | — | — | 143 → 3 |
| 14D VAL | 4,092.28 (-8.6%) | 8.0 | 1.3% | 6h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 8% ±9 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 24% ±25 | 47% ±44 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 206 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 4,476.34 | 4,377.33 | 4,606.19 | target | +1.66% |
| 14d | POC | short | 4,476.34 | 4,092.28 | 4,754 | expired | +1.66% |
| 30d | POC | short | 4,476.34 | 4,190.94 | 4,758.54 | expired | +1.66% |