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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-08 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,754–4,758.54 (+5.8%) | 6.5 | 0.2% | 60m | 3.2d ago · 70× | 14% ±13 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±2 | 14% ±12 | 38% ±30 | 60% ±48 | 5.6d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 187 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,608.47 (+2.5%) | 2.8 | 2.6% | 21h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 56% ±19 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 11% ±5 | 55% ±19 | 70% ±30 | 86% ±34 | 21h | 1.84% | 1.94% | 160 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 4,578.8–4,607.18 (+1.9%) | 2.1 | 2.6% | 16h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 46% ±26 | 61% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 12% ±7 | 44% ±25 | 54% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 1.5d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 87 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,494.55 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,479.06–4,479.47 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 6.7% | 3.0d | 2.9d ago · 106× | 80% ±23 | 61% ±17 | 4% ±7 | 36% ±17 | 30 | 70% ±11 | 81% ±22 | 87% ±33 | 91% ±40 | 1h | 3.03% | 1.19% | 72 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,397.22 (-2.2%) | 2.4 | 2.0% | 9h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 36% ±22 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 13% ±6 | 35% ±21 | 50% ±37 | 56% ±56 | 4.2d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 117 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,313.92–4,332.84 (-3.6%) | 4.0 | 2.5% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 43% ±25 | 48% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 9% ±6 | 42% ±24 | 66% ±41 | 68% ±65 | 1.5d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 97 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,276.08 (-4.9%) | 5.4 | 0.9% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 14% ±12 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±12 | 22% ±24 | 25% ±38 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 200 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-6.8%) | 7.6 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 1.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 6% ±15 | 20% ±39 | > 7d | — | — | 178 → 4 |
| 14D VAL | 4,092.28 (-9.0%) | 10 | 1.1% | 5h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 6% ±7 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 17% ±20 | 40% ±39 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 247 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 4,494.55 | 4,608.47 | 4,397.22 | stop | -4.88% |
| 14d | POC | long | 4,494.55 | 4,754 | 4,092.28 | expired | -4.88% |
| 30d | POC | long | 4,494.55 | 4,758.54 | 4,190.94 | expired | -4.88% |