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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-08 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,754–4,758.54 (+5.6%) | 6.3 | 0.2% | 60m | 3.4d ago · 70× | 15% ±13 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±2 | 15% ±13 | 38% ±30 | 60% ±48 | 5.4d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 180 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,608.47 (+2.4%) | 2.7 | 2.6% | 21h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 58% ±19 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 13% ±5 | 57% ±19 | 72% ±29 | 88% ±32 | 20h | 1.84% | 1.94% | 153 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 4,578.8–4,607.18 (+1.7%) | 1.9 | 2.6% | 16h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 46% ±27 | 61% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 13% ±7 | 43% ±26 | 54% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 1.5d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 85 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,501.44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,479.06–4,488.93 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 6.8% | 2.7d | 3.0d ago · 106× | 80% ±22 | 61% ±17 | 4% ±7 | 36% ±17 | 30 | 69% ±10 | 81% ±21 | 88% ±32 | 91% ±39 | 1h | 3.03% | 1.19% | 79 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,420.69 (-1.8%) | 2.0 | 2.5% | 15h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 38% ±23 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 15% ±7 | 37% ±23 | 49% ±40 | 54% ±69 | 4.2d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 104 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,276.08 (-5.0%) | 5.6 | 0.9% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 13% ±12 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±11 | 20% ±24 | 23% ±37 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 205 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 4,134.18–4,200.4 (-6.7%) | 7.5 | 2.4% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 11% ±13 | 48% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±13 | 24% ±30 | 25% ±49 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 136 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-6.9%) | 7.8 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 6% ±15 | 20% ±39 | > 7d | — | — | 181 → 4 |
| 14D VAL | 4,101.6 (-8.9%) | 10.0 | 1.4% | 9h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 6% ±7 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 17% ±20 | 40% ±39 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 247 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.