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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-09 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,754–4,758.54 (+6.8%) | 7.9 | 0.2% | 56m | 3.3d ago · 70× | 10% ±10 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±10 | 33% ±27 | 59% ±43 | 5.8d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 220 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,589.51 (+3.1%) | 3.6 | 2.7% | 19h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 44% ±17 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 7% ±4 | 43% ±17 | 61% ±29 | 79% ±35 | 1.3d | 1.84% | 1.94% | 201 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 4,578.8–4,607.18 (+2.8%) | 3.3 | 2.4% | 15h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 28% ±23 | 61% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 4% ±4 | 27% ±22 | 38% ±43 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 96 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,479.06–4,488.93 (+0.6%) | 0.7 | 6.5% | 2.9d | 3.1d ago · 104× | 88% ±16 | 38% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 28 | 73% ±9 | 89% ±15 | 92% ±21 | 96% ±27 | 1h | 1.83% | 1.70% | 101 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,452.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 4,433.45 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 3.0% | 15h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 71% ±28 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 56% ±13 | 71% ±28 | 81% ±45 | 82% | 2h | 2.57% | 0.74% | 60 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,276.08 (-4.0%) | 4.7 | 0.8% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 20% ±14 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±14 | 27% ±26 | 31% ±41 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 191 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 4,134.18–4,200.4 (-5.7%) | 6.6 | 2.3% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 18% ±16 | 48% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±16 | 33% ±35 | 34% ±54 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 131 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-5.9%) | 6.9 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 7% ±16 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | — | — | 158 → 4 |
| 14D VAL | 4,110.92 (-7.7%) | 9.0 | 1.6% | 11h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 8% ±9 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 21% ±22 | 43% ±43 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 228 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 4,452.85 | 4,481.96 | 4,405.36 | stop | -2.48% |